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It is a capital mistake to theorize before one has data.
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“It is a capital mistake to theorize before one has data.”

Arthur Conan Doyle

Source
A Scandal in Bohemia
Date
1891
Meaning

Meaning of “It is a capital mistake to theorize before…”

Holmes argues that explanations should follow evidence because an early theory can tempt a person to force later facts into a preferred story.

Source context

Where does it come from?

“A Scandal in Bohemia,” The Adventures of Sherlock Holmes (1891), Project Gutenberg #1661. Holmes immediately warns that premature theorizing leads people to twist facts to suit theories; it is fictional detective dialogue.

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